← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Dec 15, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 38% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Almeria win | 29% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Almeria |
| 16' | 🟨 | Chico · Fuenlabrada |
| 30' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Almeria |
| 54' | 🟨 | José Romera · Almeria |
| 61' | ⚽ | Cristian Glauder · Fuenlabrada |
| 63' | 🟨 | Valentine Ozornwafor · Almeria |
| 69' | ⚽ | Iban Salvador · Fuenlabrada |
| 78' | ⚽ | Juan Muñoz · Almeria |
| 85' | 🟨 | Juan Muñoz · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sekou Gassama · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 2692.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1539.24 | 1562.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.87 | 30.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.48 | 0.89 |
| league points | 35.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 9.17 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 30.89 | 25.42 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.89 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |