← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Dec 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 37% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Cadiz win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cadiz +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
| 33' | ⚽ | Álex Fernández · Cadiz |
| 66' | ⚽ | David Querol · Cadiz |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jimmy Suárez · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Baldé · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fali · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 897.00 | 1353.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1477.84 | 1597.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.18 | -14.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| league points | 22.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 8.90 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 2.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | -1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.46 | 28.17 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |