← Segunda División 2019 · Fri, Dec 13, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 37% | 2.57 |
| Numancia win | 31% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Numancia +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Gerard Gumbau · Girona |
| 60' | 🟨 | — · Numancia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Numancia |
| 76' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alex Sola · Numancia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Guillermo · Numancia |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Guillermo · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 195.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1469.92 | 1573.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.47 | 22.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| league points | 29.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 5.13 | 5.38 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.48 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 28.18 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |