← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Dec 8, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 53% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Numancia win | 20% | 4.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Numancia −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 25' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 27' | ⚽ (pen) | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 36' | ⚽ | Juan Narváez · Las Palmas |
| 43' | 🟨 | Deivid · Las Palmas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Javi Castellano · Las Palmas |
| 73' | ⚽ | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 80' | 🟨 | Kirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas |
| 81' | ⚽ | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 89' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ander Vidorreta · Numancia |
| coach days | 282.00 | 190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1475.89 | 1482.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.47 | 11.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| league points | 28.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 8.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 26.29 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |