← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Dec 8, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Santiago Varón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 67% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Lugo win | 11% | 9.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −1.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Girona −1.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Christian Stuani · Girona |
| 36' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 42' | 🟨 | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 44' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Girona |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jaume Grau · Lugo |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Stuani · Girona |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jaume Grau · Lugo |
| 74' | 🟥 | Jaume Grau · Lugo |
| 80' | 🟨 | Christian Stuani · Girona |
| 83' | ⚽ | Christian Stuani · Girona |
| 90' | ⚽ | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadi Municipal de Montilivi |
| coach days | 68.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1566.40 | 1433.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.77 | 17.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.82 |
| league points | 29.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.63 | 6.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.17 | 28.87 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |