← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Nov 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Albacete win | 23% | 4.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Albacete −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Javi Acuña · Albacete |
| 27' | 🟨 | Karim Azamoum · Albacete |
| 37' | 🟨 | Ivan Kecojević · Albacete |
| 44' | 🟨 | Yacouba Magagi · Ponferradina |
| 45' | 🟨 | Javi Acuña · Albacete |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Yuri · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 547.00 | 547.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1446.92 | 1487.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.50 | -15.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| league points | 23.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.79 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.51 | 28.44 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.34 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |