← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Nov 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.03 |
| Almeria win | 28% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.25 | 52% | 1.95 |
| Tenerife −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Adrián Ortolá · Tenerife |
| 9' | 🟨 | Matías Nahuel · Tenerife |
| 27' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 32' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 38' | ⚽ | Borja Lasso · Tenerife |
| 59' | 🟨 | Alberto Jiménez · Tenerife |
| 78' | 🟨 | Carlos Ruiz · Tenerife |
| 80' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Tenerife |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sergio Aguza · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 182.00 | 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1474.77 | 1540.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.23 | 14.50 |
| eye test v1 | -1.26 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.88 |
| league points | 21.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.43 | 25.89 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |