← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Nov 24, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Isidro Díaz de Mera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 50% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Numancia win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Almeria −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 4' | ⚽ (og) | Dani Barrio · Almeria |
| 22' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Almeria |
| 22' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Numancia |
| 29' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 31' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 36' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Almeria |
| 69' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Numancia |
| 70' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Almeria |
| 74' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Almeria |
| 74' | 🟥 | Radosav Petrović |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 23.00 | 176.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1529.14 | 1495.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.97 | 45.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| league points | 26.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.11 | 25.79 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |