← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Nov 23, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
| Ponferradina win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −1 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Huesca −1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Pedro Mosquera · Huesca |
| 22' | 🟨 | Isi Palazón · Ponferradina |
| 24' | ⚽ | Eugeni Valderrama · Huesca |
| 30' | 🟨 | Mikel Rico · Huesca |
| 60' | 🟨 | Pablo Trigueros Estrada · Ponferradina |
| 67' | 🟨 | Isi Palazón · Ponferradina |
| 67' | 🟥 | Isi Palazón · Ponferradina |
| 69' | ⚽ | Sergio Gómez · Huesca |
| 78' | 🟨 | Toni Datković · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 175.00 | 540.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1576.93 | 1454.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.87 | 34.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 48.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 29.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 58.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.29 | 6.33 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | -2.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.38 | 26.96 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -1.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |