← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Nov 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.98 |
| Zaragoza win | 20% | 5.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Zaragoza −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Íñigo Eguaras · Zaragoza |
| 61' | 🟨 | Stole Dimitrievski · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 63' | 🟨 | Andrés Martín · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 71' | 🟨 | Javi Puado · Zaragoza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Guti · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 267.00 | 357.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1533.08 | 1474.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.81 | -23.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 25.99 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |