← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Nov 16, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Albacete win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Zaragoza −0.75 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Karim Azamoum · Albacete |
| 33' | 🟨 | Alberto Guitián · Zaragoza |
| 66' | 🟨 | Leonardo Capezzi · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriel Brazão · Albacete |
| 90' | ⚽ | Eddy Silvestre · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 350.00 | 533.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1485.88 | 1490.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.46 | -12.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 23.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 7.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.53 | 27.97 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |