← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Nov 10, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 46% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 23% | 4.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.47 |
| Over | 34% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Cristóbal Márquez · Fuenlabrada |
| 23' | 🟨 | Mohamed Benkhemassa · Málaga CF |
| 28' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Fuenlabrada |
| 57' | 🟨 | Luis Hernández · Málaga CF |
| 68' | 🟨 | Badr Boulahroud · Málaga CF |
| 72' | 🟨 | David Prieto Galvez · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 223.00 | 2657.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.45 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1508.08 | 1531.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.89 | -4.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.78 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.39 |
| league points | 15.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 8.98 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -1.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 28.30 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.81 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |