← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Nov 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Zaragoza win | 23% | 4.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Almeria −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 26' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 35' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Almeria |
| 44' | 🟨 | James Igbekeme · Zaragoza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Darwin Núñez · Almeria |
| 65' | ⚽ | Miguel Linares · Zaragoza |
| 68' | 🟨 | Carlos Nieto · Zaragoza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jonathan · Almeria |
| 87' | 🟨 | Raúl Guti · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 9.00 | 344.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1531.82 | 1482.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.36 | -38.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| league points | 24.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.49 | 24.82 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |