← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Nov 9, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Iñaki Bikandi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Lugo win | 19% | 5.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Lugo −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 54' | 🟨 | Eddy Silvestre · Albacete |
| 61' | 🟨 | Ivan Kecojević · Albacete |
| 80' | ⚽ | Alejandro López · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 526.00 | 404.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1503.78 | 1427.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.69 | 2.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 8.25 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -9.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.91 | 28.89 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |