← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Nov 3, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Mirandes win | 24% | 4.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Mirandes −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Mirandes |
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Fidel · Elche CF |
| 7' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 29' | ⚽ | Fidel · Elche CF |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jon Guridi · Mirandes |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Fidel · Elche CF |
| 73' | 🟨 | Álvaro Rey · Mirandes |
| 78' | 🟨 | Nino · Elche CF |
| 82' | 🟨 | Enric Franquesa · Mirandes |
| 84' | 🟨 | Iñigo Vicente · Mirandes |
| 84' | ⚽ (pen) | Yacine Qasmi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| 90' | ⚽ | Álvaro Rey · Mirandes |
| coach days | 640.00 | 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1452.62 | 1382.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.25 | 17.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.45 |
| league points | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 8.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.00 | 27.04 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |