← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Nov 3, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.11 |
| Extremadura win | 29% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura +0.25 | 54% | 1.77 |
| Girona +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Alex Granell · Girona |
| 23' | 🟨 | Jose Antonio Pardo · Extremadura |
| 29' | 🟨 | Alejandro Díez Salomón · Extremadura |
| 31' | 🟨 | Álex Gallar · Girona |
| 35' | ⚽ | Christian Stuani · Girona |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jordi Calavera · Girona |
| 58' | ⚽ | Kike · Extremadura |
| 66' | 🟨 | Borja Granero Ninerola · Extremadura |
| 73' | ⚽ | Jonathan Soriano · Girona |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Maffeo · Girona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 275.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1436.98 | 1537.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.02 | -17.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.90 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 6.63 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.81 | 28.62 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |