← Segunda División 2019 · Fri, Nov 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Ponferradina win | 34% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Ponferradina +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Mikel Villanueva · Málaga CF |
| 28' | 🟨 | Keidi Bare · Málaga CF |
| 68' | 🟨 | Pablo Larrea · Ponferradina |
| 81' | ⚽ | Yuri · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 518.00 | 214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1442.44 | 1518.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.70 | 8.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.40 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.74 |
| league points | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.20 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 6.15 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.81 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.58 | 27.90 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |