← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Oct 27, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Extremadura win | 18% | 5.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Almeria −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Almeria |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Darwin Núñez · Almeria |
| 77' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 83' | 🟨 | Iván Balliu · Almeria |
| 84' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nono · Extremadura |
| 90' | ⚽ | Airam Cabrera · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 87.00 | 268.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1525.67 | 1443.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.51 | 25.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 8.25 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.56 | 27.96 |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |