← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.04 |
| Ponferradina win | 16% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −1 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −1 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 29' | 🟨 | Isi Palazón · Ponferradina |
| 43' | 🟨 | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 46' | ⚽ | Isi Palazón · Ponferradina |
| 61' | ⚽ (og) | Luis Advíncula · Ponferradina |
| 68' | ⚽ | Alejandro Catena · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 76' | 🟨 | José Pozo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 78' | 🟨 | Antonio Milić · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟥 | Leonardo Ulloa · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 239.00 | 512.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1566.80 | 1419.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.54 | -10.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 42.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | -1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.33 | 26.87 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |