← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Oct 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 60% | 1.59 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Mirandes win | 15% | 6.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −1 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Zaragoza −1 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.79 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Marcos André · Mirandes |
| 43' | 🟨 | Marcos André · Mirandes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luis Javier Suárez · Zaragoza |
| 61' | ⚽ | Álvaro Peña · Mirandes |
| 74' | ⚽ | Alberto Soro · Zaragoza |
| 79' | 🟨 | Miguel Linares · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 323.00 | 111.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1513.34 | 1367.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.88 | 8.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.50 |
| league points | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.38 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.43 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 26.83 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |