← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Oct 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 46% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Numancia win | 24% | 4.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Numancia −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 58' | 🟨 | Curro · Numancia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Pablo Larrea · Ponferradina |
| 79' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Alejandro Sanz · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 505.00 | 140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1420.33 | 1448.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.61 | 1.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.50 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.80 |
| league points | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.47 | 26.19 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |