← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Oct 12, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura win | 45% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Ponferradina win | 24% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over | 38% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Alejandro Díez Salomón · Extremadura |
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Nono · Extremadura |
| 22' | 🟨 | Pablo Larrea · Ponferradina |
| 36' | 🟨 | Fran Cruz · Extremadura |
| 39' | 🟨 | David Rocha · Extremadura |
| 68' | 🟨 | Casto · Extremadura |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 76' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 79' | 🟨 | Francisco De La Manzanara · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 253.00 | 498.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1461.91 | 1417.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.02 | -1.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.60 | 46.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| league points | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.79 | 27.25 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |