← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Oct 6, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 49% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 |
| Málaga CF win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 40' | ⚽ | Juan Carlos · Huesca |
| 50' | 🟨 | Luis Hernández · Málaga CF |
| 55' | 🟥 | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
| 71' | 🟨 | Armando Sadiku · Málaga CF |
| 85' | 🟨 | Diego González · Málaga CF |
| 88' | 🟨 | Cristo González · Huesca |
| 89' | 🟨 | Pedro Mosquera · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 127.00 | 188.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 3.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1582.16 | 1511.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.59 | -11.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.67 |
| league points | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 4.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 27.23 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |