← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Oct 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 43% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Cadiz win | 26% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Cadiz −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Alberto Guitián · Zaragoza |
| 57' | ⚽ | Anthony Lozano · Cadiz |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luis Javier Suárez · Zaragoza |
| 80' | ⚽ | Nano Mesa · Cadiz |
| 84' | 🟨 | Iván Alejo · Cadiz |
| 89' | 🟨 | Juan Cala · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Mari · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 309.00 | 1283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 4.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1527.08 | 1571.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.52 | 9.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.89 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.77 |
| league points | 16.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 2.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.41 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 27.68 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |