← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Oct 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Numancia win | 18% | 5.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Oviedo −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Yoel Bárcenas · Oviedo |
| 54' | 🟨 | Yoel Bárcenas · Oviedo |
| 63' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Oviedo |
| 65' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Numancia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alain Oyarzun · Numancia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Numancia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 827.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1452.54 | 1457.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.52 | 27.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.81 |
| league points | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 4.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.75 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.17 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.11 | 25.81 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |