← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Oct 5, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 49% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 |
| Extremadura win | 22% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Extremadura −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 10' | 🟨 | Róbert Mazáň · Tenerife |
| 21' | ⚽ | Álex Muñoz · Tenerife |
| 74' | 🟨 | Carlos Ruiz · Tenerife |
| 75' | 🟨 | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Tenerife |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Nono · Extremadura |
| 85' | 🟨 | Alex López · Extremadura |
| 90' | 🟨 | Borja Lasso · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Borja Lasso · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟥 | Borja Lasso · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 126.00 | 246.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1455.10 | 1450.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.75 | 18.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| league points | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 2.98 | 4.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.19 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.00 | 28.30 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.09 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |