← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Oct 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 34% | 2.97 |
| Lugo win | 34% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Las Palmas +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Las Palmas |
| 19' | 🟨 | Martín Mantovani · Las Palmas |
| 37' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Lugo |
| 54' | 🟨 | Aythami Artiles · Las Palmas |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 76' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 83' | ⚽ | Pedri · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yanis Rahmani · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tomáš Pekhart · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 369.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1424.52 | 1474.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.80 | 41.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| league points | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 2.88 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.73 | 27.75 |
| state index | -0.74 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |