← Segunda División 2019 · Thu, Oct 3, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 50% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Málaga CF win | 23% | 4.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Armando Sadiku · Málaga CF |
| 18' | 🟨 | Juankar · Málaga CF |
| 24' | 🟨 | David Lombán · Málaga CF |
| 42' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Zaragoza |
| 60' | 🟨 | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 61' | 🟨 | Ismael Casas · Málaga CF |
| 75' | 🟨 | Alberto Soro · Zaragoza |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mohamed Benkhemassa · Málaga CF |
| 89' | ⚽ | David Lombán · Málaga CF |
| 90' | ⚽ | Raúl Guti · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 4 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 306.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 3.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1529.33 | 1509.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.90 | -16.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.66 |
| league points | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 4.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | — |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.40 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 27.38 |
| state index | 0.69 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |