← Segunda División 2019 · Wed, Oct 2, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 46% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Oviedo win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Oviedo −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Yoel Bárcenas · Oviedo |
| 34' | 🟨 | Alfredo Ortuño · Oviedo |
| 51' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mossa · Oviedo |
| 60' | 🟨 | Borja Lasso · Tenerife |
| 65' | 🟨 | Alberto Jiménez · Tenerife |
| 67' | 🟨 | Nereo Champagne · Oviedo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Isma López · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 123.00 | 823.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1467.56 | 1440.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.98 | -40.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| league points | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.86 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.01 | 29.52 |
| state index | 0.42 | -1.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |