← Segunda División 2019 · Tue, Oct 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 24% | 4.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | José León · Fuenlabrada |
| 27' | 🟨 | Chico · Fuenlabrada |
| 42' | ⚽ | Curro · Numancia |
| 57' | 🟥 | Curro · Numancia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Oriol Riera · Fuenlabrada |
| 65' | 🟨 | Iban Salvador · Fuenlabrada |
| 78' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Numancia |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Randy Nteka · Fuenlabrada |
| coach days | 122.00 | 2617.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1446.89 | 1520.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.23 | -4.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 64.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| league points | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 3.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.43 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.62 | 29.61 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -1.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | — |