← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Sep 29, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 36% | 2.82 |
| Tenerife win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Tenerife +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Tenerife |
| 21' | ⚽ | Filip Malbašić · Tenerife |
| 29' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Tenerife |
| 30' | ⚽ (pen) | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 32' | 🟨 | Luis Pérez · Tenerife |
| 40' | 🟨 | Alberto Jiménez · Tenerife |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Filip Malbašić · Tenerife |
| 60' | ⚽ | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Tenerife |
| 68' | 🟨 | Filip Malbašić · Tenerife |
| 75' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 80' | 🟨 | Borja Dominguez · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 363.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1444.90 | 1447.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.82 | -1.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 8.13 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 26.11 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |