← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Sep 29, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Díaz de Mera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 37% | 3.00 |
| Zaragoza win | 33% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Oviedo −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Oviedo |
| 36' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Oviedo |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Luis Javier Suárez · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 50' | 🟨 | Raúl Guti · Zaragoza |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Alfredo Ortuño · Oviedo |
| 62' | 🟨 | Simone Grippo · Zaragoza |
| 66' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Zaragoza |
| 68' | 🟨 | Saúl Berjón · Oviedo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jorge Pombo · Zaragoza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Borja Sánchez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 820.00 | 302.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1439.18 | 1530.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.93 | 26.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.79 |
| league points | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.27 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.83 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.29 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.46 | 27.18 |
| state index | -1.05 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |