← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Sep 28, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Numancia win | 22% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Moises Delgado · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 18' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Numancia |
| 23' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jordi Figueras · Real Racing Club de Santander |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Racing Club de Santander | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Campos de Sport de El Sardinero |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 515.00 | 119.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1422.54 | 1445.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.17 | 28.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.14 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.76 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.08 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.29 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 26.08 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |