← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Sep 22, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada −0.75 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Tenerife −0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Matías Nahuel · Tenerife |
| 49' | 🟨 | Shaq Moore · Tenerife |
| 52' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Fuenlabrada |
| 68' | 🟨 | Iban Salvador · Fuenlabrada |
| 78' | ⚽ | Iban Salvador · Fuenlabrada |
| 85' | 🟨 | Suso · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Róbert Mazáň · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Róbert Mazáň · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟥 | Róbert Mazáň · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 113.00 | 2608.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1457.35 | 1511.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.34 | 11.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 28.03 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | — |