← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Sep 21, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 |
| Almeria win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Almeria −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | ⚽ | Santi Comesaña · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 67' | 🟨 | José Pozo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 74' | ⚽ | Juan Muñoz · Almeria |
| 84' | 🟨 | Nikola Maraš · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 24 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 204.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1551.47 | 1569.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.17 | 50.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| league points | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 4.04 | 4.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 2.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.28 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.90 | 26.10 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |