← Segunda División 2019 · Thu, Sep 19, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 51% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Extremadura win | 21% | 4.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Extremadura −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 28' | 🟨 | Alejandro Arribas · Oviedo |
| 38' | 🟨 | Edu Cortina · Oviedo |
| 39' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 68' | 🟨 | David Rocha · Extremadura |
| 70' | ⚽ | Kike · Extremadura |
| 80' | 🟨 | Casto · Extremadura |
| 85' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fran Cruz · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 810.00 | 230.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1450.72 | 1422.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.81 | -24.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.76 |
| league points | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 4.13 | 4.04 |
| season ppg | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.77 | 26.87 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |