← Segunda División 2019 · Wed, Sep 18, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.08 |
| Ponferradina win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Lugo −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 63' | 🟨 | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Fabián Noguera · Ponferradina |
| 68' | 🟨 | Kaxe · Ponferradina |
| 75' | 🟨 | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Luis Valcarce · Ponferradina |
| 76' | ⚽ | Pablo Larrea · Ponferradina |
| 83' | ⚽ (og) | Iriome Gonzalez · Ponferradina |
| 87' | 🟨 | Pablo Trigueros Estrada · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 352.00 | 474.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1443.14 | 1418.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.60 | 14.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| league points | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 3.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.67 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.85 | 26.96 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |