← Segunda División 2019 · Tue, Sep 17, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Girona win | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Girona −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Sekou Gassama · Almeria |
| 35' | 🟨 | Alex Granell · Girona |
| 42' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Almeria |
| 56' | ⚽ | Marc Gual · Girona |
| 61' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Girona |
| 76' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 79' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 80' | 🟨 | Pablo Maffeo · Girona |
| 81' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Girona |
| 81' | 🟥 | Juanpe · Girona |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Sekou Gassama · Almeria |
| 88' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 47.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1556.22 | 1570.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.88 | -7.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.81 |
| league points | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.02 | 2.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | — |
| season ppg | 2.60 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.08 | 28.78 |
| state index | 1.09 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |