← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Sep 14, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 35% | 2.85 |
| Almeria win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Las Palmas +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Sekou Gassama · Almeria |
| 22' | ⚽ | José Romera · Almeria |
| 24' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 39' | 🟨 | Martín Mantovani · Las Palmas |
| 57' | ⚽ | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 61' | 🟨 | Chema Núñez · Almeria |
| 66' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jean-Armel Drolé · Las Palmas |
| 85' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Almeria |
| 87' | ⚽ | Valentín Vada · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 0 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 26 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 197.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1448.86 | 1540.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.86 | 54.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.85 |
| league points | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.02 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 26.21 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |