← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Sep 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 40% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Numancia win | 29% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Huesca +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | David Ferreiro · Huesca |
| 48' | 🟨 | Luisinho · Huesca |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 58' | 🟨 | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Alex Sola · Numancia |
| 80' | ⚽ | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 105.00 | 105.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1429.54 | 1603.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.62 | 22.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | — |
| league points | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 6.17 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.16 | 27.68 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |