← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Sep 7, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Almeria win | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Sekou Gassama · Almeria |
| 19' | 🟨 | Esteban Rolón · Málaga CF |
| 20' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Almeria |
| 51' | 🟨 | Fernando Martínez · Almeria |
| 74' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Almeria |
| 82' | 🟨 | Badr Boulahroud · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juankar · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 159.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1538.28 | 1528.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.78 | 43.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.72 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| league points | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 6.92 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.02 | 25.82 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |