← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Aug 24, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Lugo win | 21% | 5.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.75 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Oviedo −0.75 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Oviedo |
| 15' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 27' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
| 37' | 🟨 | Roberto Canella · Lugo |
| 49' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
| 49' | 🟥 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 62' | 🟨 | Roberto Canella · Lugo |
| 62' | 🟥 | Roberto Canella · Lugo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alejandro López · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 24 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 784.00 | 327.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1491.21 | 1439.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.70 | 9.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.45 | 28.20 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |