← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Aug 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 61% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
| Mirandes win | 14% | 7.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟥 | Martín Pascual · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 11' | ⚽ | Álvaro Rey · Mirandes |
| 15' | 🟨 | Carlos Julio Martinez · Mirandes |
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Adrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 23' | 🟨 | Martín Merquelanz · Mirandes |
| 25' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Mirandes |
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Adrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 45' | 🟨 | Carlos Julio Martinez · Mirandes |
| 45' | 🟥 | Carlos Julio Martinez · Mirandes |
| 71' | ⚽ | Andres Mohedano · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 0.00 |
| coach days | 169.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | — |
| elo | 1545.33 | 1369.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.44 | 30.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | — |
| skill v1 | 1.23 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 24.94 | 27.42 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |