← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trapani win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Crotone win | 23% | 4.20 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Trapani −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Jean Lambert Evan's Allan · Crotone |
| 33' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Trapani |
| 35' | 🟨 | Roberto Pirrello · Trapani |
| 54' | ⚽ | Anthony Taugourdeau · Trapani |
| 56' | 🟨 | Simy · Crotone |
| 58' | ⚽ | Nicola Dalmonte · Trapani |
| 68' | 🟨 | Gabriele Bellodi · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trapani | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale |
| coach days | 243.00 | 608.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1470.15 | 1591.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.24 | 31.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| league points | 43.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.00 | 62.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -2.30 | 1.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.02 | 27.51 |
| state index | 0.31 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.78 | 1.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |