← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 40% | 2.51 |
| Virtus Entella win | 33% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella +0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Cittadella +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Panico · Cittadella |
| 5' | ⚽ (og) | Alberto Rizzo · Virtus Entella |
| 12' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Cittadella |
| 21' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Panico · Cittadella |
| 45' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Virtus Entella |
| 58' | 🟨 | Francesco Stanco · Cittadella |
| 76' | 🟨 | Simone Andreis · Virtus Entella |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alberto Rizzo · Cittadella |
| 84' | 🟨 | Agostino Camigliano · Cittadella |
| 87' | ⚽ | Francesco Stanco · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 25 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | 761.00 | 1857.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1436.35 | 1469.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.42 | -54.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| league points | 48.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 26.79 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |