← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 34% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Venezia FC win | 33% | 2.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Venezia FC +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Ivan Lakićević · Venezia FC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Pasquale Mazzocchi · Perugia |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 52' | ⚽ | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Samuele Longo · Venezia FC |
| 65' | ⚽ | Alessandro Capello · Venezia FC |
| 69' | ⚽ | Filippo Sgarbi · Perugia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Christian Capone · Perugia |
| 86' | 🟥 | Gabriele Angella · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 396.00 | 212.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1441.97 | 1426.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.05 | 0.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 45.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| league points | 47.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.88 | 26.13 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |