← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Spezia win | 20% | 4.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Spezia −0.75 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 30' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
| 35' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Salernitana |
| 45' | ⚽ | Luca Mora · Spezia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Giulio Maggiore · Spezia |
| 59' | 🟨 | Marco Migliorini · Salernitana |
| 62' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Salernitana |
| 62' | 🟥 | Fabio Maistro · Salernitana |
| 90' | ⚽ | M'Bala Nzola · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Axel Desjardins · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 396.00 | 396.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1437.94 | 1518.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.76 | -2.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 44.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.57 |
| league points | 52.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 86.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 66.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | 2.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.03 | 27.10 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |