← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Jul 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.86 |
| Benevento win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Benevento −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.72 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Marco Sau · Benevento |
| 32' | ⚽ | Federico Barba · Benevento |
| 45' | ⚽ | Roberto Insigne · Benevento |
| 49' | ⚽ | Leonardo Morosini · Ascoli |
| 69' | 🟨 | Pasquale Schiattarella · Benevento |
| 87' | ⚽ | Gabriele Moncini · Benevento |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marcello Trotta · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 60.00 | 426.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1412.65 | 1624.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.43 | -32.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| league points | 46.00 | 83.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 2.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | 1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 27.46 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |