← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jul 27, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Abbattista
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Cremonese win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Cremonese +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 24' | 🟨 | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 30' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 44' | 🟨 | Claiton · Cremonese |
| 45' | 🟥 | — · Juve Stabia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Nadir Zortea · Cremonese |
| 72' | 🟨 | Bright Addae · Juve Stabia |
| 85' | ⚽ | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alessandro Rossi · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti |
| coach days | 1122.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1361.12 | 1467.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.67 | 25.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.79 |
| league points | 41.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.17 | 27.99 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |