← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jul 27, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
| Salernitana win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Pordenone −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ (pen) | Salvatore Burrai · Pordenone |
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Niccolò Giannetti · Salernitana |
| 47' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 53' | 🟨 | Andrea Gasbarro · Pordenone |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ramzi Aya · Salernitana |
| 70' | 🟨 | Patryk Dziczek · Salernitana |
| 76' | 🟨 | — · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Mazzocco · Pordenone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Barison · Pordenone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Nereo Rocco |
| coach days | 893.00 | 392.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1489.21 | 1434.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.67 | 5.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| league points | 56.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 27.29 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.80 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |